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Research Seminar at the Institute of Applied Statistics

April 10th - Dr. Gregor Mathes, Geozentrum Nordbayern, Friedrich-Alexander Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU), Germany: From fossils to forecasts: Understanding extinction dynamics under climate change

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Meeting-ID: 280 519 2121
Passwort: 584190

Abstract:
As the world faces an unprecedented biodiversity crisis, climate change is rapidly emerging as a major driver of species extinctions, interacting with other human-induced stressors like overexploitation and habitat destruction. While empirical data on climate-driven extinctions in modern times is scarce, the deep-time fossil record offers a rich archive of extinction processes. In this talk, I will explore how we can extract valuable insights from this archive to understand the link between climate change, habitat loss, and extinction risk. I will also address the inherent biases in fossil data, ranging from differential preservation and sampling to colonial legacies. Finally, I will introduce methods to account for these biases in a robust epistemiological framework, covering approaches based on Granger causality, quasi-experimental designs, and structural causal modeling.

Event

Time & date

April 10, 2025

15:30 - 17:00 PM

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Location

S2 Z74, Science Park 2

Contact

alexandra.stadler@jku.at